Volatility in grain prices

October 13th, 2010 - The sudden weakening of the USD, some three weeks ago, cost European physical grain prices initially to go down accordingly. At the end of last week however, the usda released its update of the 2010/2011 US production situation. This report unexpectedly showed US corn production by about 5% down. Considering corn was already suffering from a very tight supply and demand situation, this report caused corn prices, and with it other grain prices, to go up substantially. At present the upmove has halted and markets appear stable again. The overall supply and demand situation for the entire grain complex however, has deteriorated further. Markets are therefore not likely to show downside potential for the time being until a clearer outlook is available on the remaining crops in Australia and Argentina. With no stocks to fall back on, the market will thus remain extremely sensitive to any further decreases in supply.

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The above information is for general purposes only. Any reliance you place on the given information is therefore strictly at your own risk.

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