Market reverting down

March 17, 2011 - Grain prices initially experienced strong support by panic buying of several governments in the Middle-East, in an attempt to keep their populations happy and put a lit on the unrest. Later as the situation in Libia developed and turned negative, fund managers massively exited long positions and put their monies into oils, causing grain prices on the future markets to fall down and oil prices to reach new highs. This week more uncertainty has come to the markets, as a result of the situation in Japan. This has caused further downward pressure to prices.
Opposite to these events are the actual grain fundamentals, which did not change, i.e. we are still in a extremely tight balanced situation between supply and demand. Additional supply shocks, as we have seen many over the past months, can not be absorbed.
Depending on how the situation in Japan develops, long term fundamentals for grains thus in fact remain friendly for the time being.

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The above information is for general purposes only. Any reliance you place on the given information is therefore strictly at your own risk.

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